Years vs. model Lotto
Does any year deviate from the model — and does it mean anything?
- Draws in the sample
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- From
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- To
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- Data calculated
- 2026-09-16T14:40:24+02:00
What do these numbers show?
- Liczba lat w zestawieniu: 70, łącznie 6 540 losowań.
- Największe odchylenie pojedynczej liczby przypada na rok 2017: max |z| = 4,860 przy N = 156 losowań (liczba 34).
- Lata z małą próbą lub bez losowań są oznaczone w ostatniej kolumnie tabeli; ich miary opisowe zostają.
These are historical data. Each draw is independent of previous draws, so these numbers do not tell us what will be drawn next.
How do I use this page?
- Wybierz wiersz roku, który Cię interesuje.
- Porównaj miary T i max |z| z liczbą losowań N w tym samym wierszu — mały N daje większe wahania.
- Kliknij nagłówek kolumny, aby posortować tabelę; drugie kliknięcie odwraca kolejność.
What this page does not do: nie wskazuje przyczyny odchyleń i nie przewiduje kolejnych wyników.
Deviations from the model across years
Każdy wiersz to jeden rok losowań Lotto. Miary porównują liczniki trafień 49 liczb z tego roku z modelem równych szans.
| df | Number | Notes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1957 | 47 | 32,404 | 48 | 1,889 | 8 | |
| 1958 | 51 | 43,090 | 48 | 2,031 | 41 | |
| 1959 | 52 | 38,812 | 48 | 1,848 | 24 | |
| 1960 | 52 | 57,395 | 48 | 3,229 | 20 | |
| 1961 | 53 | 47,860 | 48 | 3,147 | 7 | |
| 1962 | 52 | 45,123 | 48 | 1,960 | 33 | |
| 1963 | 52 | 49,682 | 48 | 2,806 | 42 | |
| 1964 | 52 | 43,020 | 48 | 2,383 | 25 | |
| 1965 | 52 | 65,810 | 48 | 2,383 | 38 | |
| 1966 | 52 | 65,460 | 48 | 2,806 | 1 | |
| 1967 | 53 | 55,772 | 48 | 3,147 | 17 | |
| 1968 | 52 | 49,331 | 48 | 2,806 | 32 | |
| 1969 | 52 | 51,084 | 48 | 3,652 | 17 | |
| 1970 | 52 | 72,122 | 48 | 3,229 | 44 | |
| 1971 | 52 | 52,136 | 48 | 2,383 | 15 | |
| 1972 | 53 | 36,851 | 48 | 2,309 | 21 | |
| 1973 | 52 | 32,852 | 48 | 2,806 | 29 | |
| 1974 | 52 | 62,304 | 48 | 2,806 | 49 | |
| 1975 | 52 | 44,422 | 48 | 2,806 | 13 | |
| 1976 | 52 | 45,123 | 48 | 1,960 | 17 | |
| 1977 | 52 | 41,617 | 48 | 1,960 | 7 | |
| 1978 | 53 | 54,740 | 48 | 2,728 | 29 | |
| 1979 | 52 | 59,499 | 48 | 2,806 | 10 | |
| 1980 | 52 | 55,993 | 48 | 2,383 | 19 | |
| 1981 | 52 | 39,513 | 48 | 1,960 | 39 | |
| 1982 | 52 | 42,669 | 48 | 2,383 | 5 | |
| 1983 | 52 | 45,123 | 48 | 2,806 | 38 | |
| 1984 | 53 | 41,667 | 48 | 1,890 | 9 | |
| 1985 | 52 | 60,902 | 48 | 2,694 | 40 | |
| 1986 | 52 | 61,603 | 48 | 2,383 | 2 | |
| 1987 | 52 | 50,032 | 48 | 2,383 | 7 | |
| 1988 | 53 | 48,204 | 48 | 2,728 | 47 | |
| 1989 | 52 | 65,810 | 48 | 3,229 | 42 | |
| 1990 | 104 | 47,821 | 48 | 2,314 | 16 | |
| 1991 | 104 | 50,626 | 48 | 2,772 | 34 | |
| 1992 | 105 | 53,135 | 48 | 2,424 | 11 | |
| 1993 | 104 | 40,984 | 48 | 2,314 | 9 | |
| 1994 | 105 | 44,453 | 48 | 2,126 | 23 | |
| 1995 | 104 | 53,957 | 48 | 3,669 | 41 | |
| 1996 | 104 | 55,886 | 48 | 2,472 | 21 | |
| 1997 | 105 | 31,950 | 48 | 2,637 | 48 | |
| 1998 | 104 | 49,399 | 48 | 2,772 | 23 | |
| 1999 | 104 | 38,530 | 48 | 2,015 | 10 | |
| 2000 | 105 | 49,836 | 48 | 2,424 | 45 | |
| 2001 | 104 | 34,147 | 48 | 1,874 | 46 | |
| 2002 | 104 | 42,036 | 48 | 2,173 | 4 | |
| 2003 | 105 | 42,195 | 48 | 1,829 | 15 | |
| 2004 | 104 | 40,809 | 48 | 2,015 | 32 | |
| 2005 | 105 | 35,423 | 48 | 1,829 | 26 | |
| 2006 | 104 | 35,725 | 48 | 2,472 | 19 | |
| 2007 | 121 | 41,991 | 48 | 2,270 | 45 | |
| 2008 | 157 | 57,748 | 48 | 2,489 | 12 | |
| 2009 | 157 | 54,148 | 48 | 2,380 | 24 | |
| 2010 | 156 | 58,116 | 48 | 2,662 | 16 | |
| 2011 | 157 | 48,225 | 48 | 2,380 | 6 | |
| 2012 | 156 | 43,857 | 48 | 2,467 | 14 | |
| 2013 | 157 | 35,683 | 48 | 1,893 | 31 | |
| 2014 | 156 | 56,713 | 48 | 2,223 | 24 | |
| 2015 | 157 | 34,754 | 48 | 2,246 | 27 | |
| 2016 | 157 | 51,245 | 48 | 3,354 | 7 | |
| 2017 | 156 | 61,622 | 48 | 4,860 | 34 | |
| 2018 | 156 | 62,791 | 48 | 2,906 | 15 | |
| 2019 | 157 | 34,173 | 48 | 1,893 | 8 | |
| 2020 | 157 | 70,290 | 48 | 3,220 | 34 | |
| 2021 | 156 | 37,896 | 48 | 2,223 | 40 | |
| 2022 | 157 | 49,503 | 48 | 2,623 | 2 | |
| 2023 | 156 | 45,493 | 48 | 2,418 | 5 | |
| 2024 | 157 | 59,374 | 48 | 4,328 | 2 | |
| 2025 | 156 | 65,479 | 48 | 2,662 | 30 | |
| 2026 | 111 | 45,322 | 48 | 2,488 | 35 |
Methodology
N is the number of draws in that year. All measures in the row refer only to that year's history.
T measures the total deviation of all numbers' hit counts from the expected value under the equal-chance model: the larger T is, the further the yearly counts stray from a uniform distribution.
df is the number of degrees of freedom for this measure — one less than the numbers in the pool.
max |z| is the largest single standardized deviation among all numbers, and "number" indicates which number it belongs to. When counts are tied, the lower number is shown.
Don't compare years with different N as if they were identical trials: with a small N the same differences in hits produce a larger T and max |z|. The deviation in the table is a fact from the history, not a determination of its cause.