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Conditional probability calculator

Enter probabilities as values from 0 to 1.

Probability: —

Fill in the fields above — the result is computed on this page.

Branch probabilities

Bars show the calculated outcomes.

Calculation branches

Event Probability
Fill in the fields above — the result is computed on this page.
What do these numbers mean?
  • Probabilities must stay between 0 and 1.
  • Define events before entering numbers.

The result assumes the supplied conditional probabilities are correct; repeated-trial mode assumes independence.

How do I use this page?
  1. Enter inputs.
  2. Check the branches and formula.

What this page does not do: The result assumes the supplied conditional probabilities are correct; repeated-trial mode assumes independence.

Further reading

Theory — how is conditional probability calculated?

This calculator finds the probability of one event occurring given that another event is already known to have happened. Inputs are entered as decimal values between 0 and 1, so 25% becomes 0.25. The calculation relies on the multiplication rule and the complement of an event, with every intermediate step displayed alongside the final result.

Frequently asked questions

Can I enter percentages?
Use decimals: 25% is 0.25.

See also

← All calculators

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Offline app and draw notifications

My saved selections

Selections saved only in this browser. Numbers are shown exactly as saved; this is not a lottery ticket.

Open the My saved selections hub
Restore with preview

Restore in the hub: review the file and confirm first. Both old backups and the complete selections + journal backup are supported. Nothing is uploaded.