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Years vs. model Eurojackpot

Does any year deviate from the model — and does it mean anything?

What would you like to check?

Enter or load your numbers in the analyzer. The latest draw report describes the actual draw, not your selection.

Explore all statistics — guided topics

These pages describe the history of this game. They do not predict future numbers. Use the selection tool on a page to compare your own numbers.

Numbers and gaps

Start with frequency and gaps: how often each number appeared in the selected historical sample.

Draw structure

Compare sum, parity, endings and range. On a page with a selection comparison, open it to check your numbers.

Relationships and random model

Explore pairs, triples and partners, then the random model. Historical relationships do not improve future odds.

Draws and tools

Read the latest draw report for the actual drawn numbers. Use the analyzer and matching draws for your own selection.

Game
Eurojackpot
Latest draw
29.09.2026 20:15
Draw number
708
Calculated at
01.10.2026 23:51
Source
Service draw archive

Deviations from the model across years

Each row is one year of Eurojackpot draws. The measures compare that year’s hit counters for 50 numbers with the equal-chance model.

Deviation-from-model measures for each year separately
df Number Notes
2012 41 26,691 49 1,614 2
2013 52 45,231 49 2,219 9
2014 52 46,487 49 1,941 23
2015 52 46,068 49 1,941 10
2016 53 41,193 49 2,610 10
2017 52 54,444 49 2,404 37
2018 52 48,162 49 2,219 24
2019 52 61,145 49 2,219 21
2020 52 47,744 49 2,219 49
2021 53 44,069 49 2,152 43
2022 92 44,739 49 2,016 49
2023 104 57,585 49 3,138 16
2024 105 52,941 49 3,090 30
2025 104 55,701 49 2,484 12
2026 78 37,134 49 2,717 17

Methodology

N is the number of draws in that year. All measures in the row refer only to that year's history.

T measures the total deviation of all numbers' hit counts from the expected value under the equal-chance model: the larger T is, the further the yearly counts stray from a uniform distribution.

df is the number of degrees of freedom for this measure — one less than the numbers in the pool.

max |z| is the largest single standardized deviation among all numbers, and "number" indicates which number it belongs to. When counts are tied, the lower number is shown.

Don't compare years with different N as if they were identical trials: with a small N the same differences in hits produce a larger T and max |z|. The deviation in the table is a fact from the history, not a determination of its cause.

Interactive tools

Explore the same data actively. The tools describe history and the random model; they do not predict the next result.

My selection — check its properties against history

This describes the entered selection and its position in the historical sample. It does not increase its chance.

Open the full selection analyzer →

History player — move through past draws

Choose a year, use the slider or start automatic playback. This is a presentation of recorded results, not a forecast.

Open the module to load the available years.

Random-model simulator — see ordinary random variation

Generate independent draws with the rules of this game and compare observed counts with the common expected value. Every run is different.

What do these numbers show?
  • Years in the table: 15, 994 draws in total.
  • The largest deviation of a single number falls in 2023: max |z| = 3,138 at N = 104 draws (number 16).
  • Years with a small sample or with no draws are marked in the last column of the table; their descriptive measures stay.

These are historical data. Each draw is independent of previous draws, so these numbers do not tell us what will be drawn next.

How do I use this page?
  1. Pick the row of the year you are interested in.
  2. Compare the T and max |z| measures with the number of draws N in the same row — a small N produces wider swings.
  3. Click a column header to sort the table; a second click reverses the order.

What this page does not do: it does not identify the cause of deviations and does not predict future results.

How to read statistical measures

Random model

The random model assumes every number has the same chance of being drawn each time. We compare results against this model to see whether the history departs from it — not to predict the next draw.

Expected value

The expected value is the average result we'd see if the numbers were fully random, repeated a great many times. Real history almost always differs from it a little — that alone is nothing unusual.

Deviation

Deviation shows how far a value is from what the random model expects, measured in units of typical spread. A value close to zero matches the model; the further from zero, the bigger the difference — but with many numbers compared at once, a few larger deviations are ordinary spread, not a signal.

Percentile

The percentile shows what share of results (from the model or from history) fall below the value being checked. Percentile 80 means about 80% of results fall below it and 20% above — it describes a place in the distribution, not a forecast.

Typicality

Typicality describes how close a value sits to the centre of the model's or history's distribution — typical values happen often, extreme ones rarely. It's a descriptive comparison and says nothing about what the next draw will bring.

Related analyses

← All statistics Eurojackpot

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