Years vs. model Eurojackpot
Does any year deviate from the model — and does it mean anything?
- Game
- Eurojackpot
- Number pool
- 50
- Selected range
- 50 most recent
- Draws in the sample
- —
- From
- —
- To
- —
- Latest draw in the sample
- —
- Data version (calculated)
- 2026-09-16T18:41:07+02:00
What do these numbers show?
- Liczba lat w zestawieniu: 15, łącznie 990 losowań.
- Największe odchylenie pojedynczej liczby przypada na rok 2023: max |z| = 3,138 przy N = 104 losowań (liczba 16).
- Lata z małą próbą lub bez losowań są oznaczone w ostatniej kolumnie tabeli; ich miary opisowe zostają.
These are historical data. Each draw is independent of previous draws, so these numbers do not tell us what will be drawn next.
How do I use this page?
- Wybierz wiersz roku, który Cię interesuje.
- Porównaj miary T i max |z| z liczbą losowań N w tym samym wierszu — mały N daje większe wahania.
- Kliknij nagłówek kolumny, aby posortować tabelę; drugie kliknięcie odwraca kolejność.
What this page does not do: nie wskazuje przyczyny odchyleń i nie przewiduje kolejnych wyników.
Deviations from the model across years
Każdy wiersz to jeden rok losowań Eurojackpot. Miary porównują liczniki trafień 50 liczb z tego roku z modelem równych szans.
| df | Number | Notes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 41 | 26,691 | 49 | 1,614 | 2 | |
| 2013 | 52 | 45,231 | 49 | 2,219 | 9 | |
| 2014 | 52 | 46,487 | 49 | 1,941 | 23 | |
| 2015 | 52 | 46,068 | 49 | 1,941 | 10 | |
| 2016 | 53 | 41,193 | 49 | 2,610 | 10 | |
| 2017 | 52 | 54,444 | 49 | 2,404 | 37 | |
| 2018 | 52 | 48,162 | 49 | 2,219 | 24 | |
| 2019 | 52 | 61,145 | 49 | 2,219 | 21 | |
| 2020 | 52 | 47,744 | 49 | 2,219 | 49 | |
| 2021 | 53 | 44,069 | 49 | 2,152 | 43 | |
| 2022 | 92 | 44,739 | 49 | 2,016 | 49 | |
| 2023 | 104 | 57,585 | 49 | 3,138 | 16 | |
| 2024 | 105 | 52,941 | 49 | 3,090 | 30 | |
| 2025 | 104 | 55,701 | 49 | 2,484 | 12 | |
| 2026 | 74 | 35,610 | 49 | 2,557 | 17 |
Methodology
N is the number of draws in that year. All measures in the row refer only to that year's history.
T measures the total deviation of all numbers' hit counts from the expected value under the equal-chance model: the larger T is, the further the yearly counts stray from a uniform distribution.
df is the number of degrees of freedom for this measure — one less than the numbers in the pool.
max |z| is the largest single standardized deviation among all numbers, and "number" indicates which number it belongs to. When counts are tied, the lower number is shown.
Don't compare years with different N as if they were identical trials: with a small N the same differences in hits produce a larger T and max |z|. The deviation in the table is a fact from the history, not a determination of its cause.